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Re: Psych yourself out: Oops
Posted By: Wolfspirit, on host 216.13.40.152
Date: Wednesday, August 4, 1999, at 06:27:25
In Reply To: Psych yourself out posted by Wolfspirit on Wednesday, August 4, 1999, at 06:13:25:

> > I discovered something amazing earlier this morning: I am the most pathetic person alive. Why, you ask? Because I cannot, no matter how hard I try, win a game of "Rock, Paper, Scissors." The last time, I lost by only two points, but I lost nonetheless. You'd think I'd have about an even chance, wouldn't you?
>
> Scissors-Paper-Rock is as much a matter of psychology as strategy. You could be making "good" strategic choices but if your opponent insists on being, shall we say, "dense without even thinking about it", he'll still be relying on his 11% chance of winning each hand. Ideally, you can increase your chances of winning by intuiting his preference biases. But that's difficult without knowing your opponent.

Correct that to a 33% probability of winning through pure chance. That's HIGH. Add that to a cumulative "Best 2 out of 3" and the odds are stacked in favor of chance!

Wolfspirit